New York Red Bulls Prematch

April 13, 2016

Urban Dictionary: A trap game is a game played against an opponent generally deemed to be easy to defeat. As a result a person or team may not prepare as thoroughly as they would for a formidable opponent. Often this attitude and its attendant lack of preparation lead to a loss.

Last season, the Quakes had their fair share of trap games which may have caused their post-season absence, most notably a home game versus the last-place Philly Union in which the Quakes LOST 2-0. This has all the makings of another trap game.

Simply put, New York Red Bulls are awful. They have given up 11 goals in five games (most in MLS) and have scored four (tied for third-last in MLS). The Quakes are playing good soccer and are at home; why worry about a trap game?

One: D.C. United put up similar numbers last week coming into Avaya (winless, offensive/defensive problems), and the Quakes could not find a way to win. We have a precedent for falling for trap games.

Two: The Quakes are playing pretty good soccer right now whereas NYRB aren’t: potential unneeded overconfidence in players.

Three: NYRB are coming off a result on Friday and flying 3,000 for a midweek game: more unwelcome overconfidence.

Four: The Quakes are playing a lone home-game in a three-in-seven (technically eight) day schedule; this would be the perfect match to rest up a bit and look ahead to Portland.

The ingredients are ready; will this turn into a recipe for disaster? While I do not think the Quakes will lose, I do fear a potential third tie in a row.

Quakes Injuries

  • Goodson is still out. Without Goodson, we give up an average of two goals per game. Watch out!
  • Barrett is training but still not ready. Jahn will probably be on the bench.
  • Stewart is training, but won’t start.
  • Godoy is training, but is not ready yet either.
  • Cato . . . is injured (is he back training; I haven’t seen anything)
  • Pelosi won’t be fit for several weeks

Lineup Predictions

The formation will not be the same we saw in Dallas, nor will it be the same against Portland. I’m predicting Shea (LW) gets the start with Matias Perez Garcia (CAM), Fatai (DM), and Simon Dawkins (RW) at mid, Quincy and Wondo up top, Wynne, Muma, Imperiale, and Colvey/Sarkodie in the back for a 4-1-3-2 look.

Expect to see Golden Boot winner Bradley Wright-Phillips at forward, being set up by Lloyd Sam, Sasha Kljesten, and Mike Grella. I wouldn’t be surprised if BWP’s brother Shaun Wright-Phillips gets the start to rest up other players. Defensively, I’m not sure who may get the start, as the Red Bulls have yet to find any combination of players that work with the absence of Matt Miazga. I would expect Dax McCarty to start and Luis Robles in goal, other than that, who knows what combination of defenders may be started to either rest players or give others a chance at the starting XI.

Final Score Prediction

Stats say 3-1 Quakes. I’m going with a 2-1 final result.

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